Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if the Boston Celtics outscore the Indiana Pacers in the first quarter of their January 21, 2026 game at TD Garden (7:30 p.m. ET). The market resolves NO if the Pacers outscore the Celtics in Q1, or if the quarter ends in a tie. Resolution will be determined via official NBA box score data available at NBA.com or ESPN.

Background

The Celtics (26-16) are heavily favored against the Pacers (10-34). Jaylen Brown leads Boston with 29.8 PPG, while Derrick White contributes 17.7 PPG. Pascal Siakam leads Indiana with 23.6 PPG. Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 home games against Indiana.

Considerations

In their January 12 matchup, the Pacers trailed after 4:02 in the first quarter before tying at 38-38 by halftime, showing they can compete early despite being a significantly weaker team overall.