Resolution criteria

The market resolves to the player who wins the singles title at the 2026 Open Occitanie (Montpellier ATP 250). The tournament takes place at the Arena Montpellier in Montpellier, France, from 2–8 February 2026. Resolution will be determined by the official ATP Tour records at atptour.com.

Background

The 2026 Open Occitanie is a men's tennis tournament played on indoor hardcourts and is part of the ATP Tour 250 series. Auger-Aliassime enters as the clear favorite based on ranking and hard court form, with a projected final against Machac offering an intriguing stylistic contrast. Auger-Aliassime is the defending champion in Montpellier, and seven of his eight career singles titles have come on this surface. Tomas Machac chases his second ATP 250 crown of the season after he triumphed in Adelaide in mid-January. Ugo Humbert is practically an indoor hard court specialist, with his clean, flat ground game, elite lefty serve, ability to take the ball early, and penchant for getting forward making him as dangerous as anyone on this surface.

Considerations

Second seed Flavio Cobolli brings concerning form to Montpellier, managing just a 10-17 hard court record this season with a poor 37.5% tiebreak record, following his first-round Australian Open exit to qualifier Arthur Fery. Arthur Fils has been sidelined with a back injury since last summer's Toronto Masters.

This description was generated by AI.