Is Mohammed Deif in Gaza?
10
210แน€2198
resolved Dec 20
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES, if within one year, there is evidence that Mohammed Deif, head of Hamas's military, is present in Gaza. Resolves NO if there is evidence to the contrary. If there is evidence that Deif moved away/into Gaza since this market was created, this market will resolve to wherever he presumably was at this time. Otherwise, I will assume that he was in his current location since the war started. If there is no evidence either way, resolves N/A.

Incontroversial evidence will trigger an immediate resolution. Evidence of a lower standard, like for example if Israel conquers all of Gaza but doesn't find him, will still trigger a Non-N/A resolution upon close. Pure speculation will just resolve N/A.

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predictedYES

A video shows him in Gaza, alive and well. I thought the stuff about him missing limbs were jokes anyways, not sure what's so surprising about this.

predictedNO

does the video show him in gaza? I don't see the article claiming that.

predictedYES

@jacksonpolack Yes this specific articles doesn't, but others that I read in Hebrew do. Give me a moment I will find a better source

predictedYES
predictedYES

@Shump Sorry about another Hebrew source but this one explicitly says the video is from a tunnel in Gaza and that this was confirmed by the IDF: https://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politics/2023-12-20/ty-article/.premium/0000018c-8701-d91e-a19c-ffadc4d00000

He were in Khan Yunis last week
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/s14kiarea

@yard Valuable evidence, but not enough for an immediate resolution. Do you know which report of escape does this refer to?

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