3
Will Manifold Markets deploy a fixed payout multiple choice market before 2024?
26
closes 2024
96%
chance

Resolves YES if a constant product market maker (cpmm) model for mutiple choice markets is deployed on Manifold Markets, on or by December 31, 2023.

Current multiple choice markets utilize parimutuel betting, where your expected retrun on investment can be influenced by the actions of market participants acting after you.

Sort by:
MartinRandall avatar
Jamesbought Ṁ80 ofYES
Martin Randall

Related markets

Will fixed-payout multiple-choice markets be available on Manifold on 2024-01-01?89%
Will fixed-payout free-response markets be available on Manifold on 2024-01-01?69%
Will Manifold allow users to create Yes/No Markets that aren't initialized to 50/50 by end-of-year 2023?51%
Will Manifold allow you to combine markets by the end of 2024?15%
Will Manifold properly support conditional markets by the end of 2023?13%
Will Manifold implement an option to hide the probability of new markets by default by 2024?41%
Will Manifold allow market creators to assign market resolution to other users by the end of 2023?58%
Will Manifold create an easy-to-use betting mechanism to limit-arbitrage various markets with only a few clicks by end of 2023?14%
Will Manifold introduce some feature to encourage betting in conditional markets by the end of 2023?44%
Will Manifold implement auctions / auction markets by the end of 2023?23%
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?55%
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?86%
Will Manifold reward the classification of markets into groups by end of 2023?26%
Will Manifold Markets declare bankruptcy before 2025?3%
Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to transfer ownership of their markets by end of 2023?25%
Will Manifold Markets introduce real money (inc. crypto) trading before 1 Jan 2024?3%
Will Manifold natively facilitate micro-payments from market creators to users that trade on their markets by end of 2024?16%
Will Manifold have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?10%
Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to "highlight" or "pin" certain markets to their profile by end of 2023?53%
Will Manifold Markets change its name by end of 2025?27%