Will 20 or more states in the US move to Rank Choice voting for state and/or federal general elections by 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ646Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market does not Resolve N/A.
Resolves YES if 20 or more states use a rank choice vote for state and/or federal general elections, otherwise Resolves NO.
"Rank choice voting" for the purposes of this market means that the electorate can identify an order of preference on their ballot, i.e. I vote for Canidate X, however if Canidate X is no longer in the running then I vote for Canidate Y, and so on. To count as rank choice voting the ballot must allow you to identify more than exclusively one canidate.
Use of a rank choice vote for city and/or county elections will not count, nor will using a rank choice vote for party specific primary elections/nominations.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Republicans in Alaska succeed in revoking ranked choice voting in the 2024 election?
2% chance
Will Alaska vote to repeal Ranked Choice Voting by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be more highly competitive states in 2024 than 2020?
36% chance
Will at least three US states use RCV in the 2028 presidential general election?
68% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
44% chance
Will Manifold have multiple-choice polls by 2025?
31% chance
Will Oregon voters approve Ranked Choice Voting in 2024?
19% chance
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?
33% chance
Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?
42% chance
Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?
25% chance