This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of July 8 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Resolution Details:
Primary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.
Secondary Reference: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1 (shared for directional reference, this market does not resolve to this price)
Data Point: The "Daily" value listed for July 8
Timing: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on July 8 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning).
Note: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.
Strictly more than not equal to
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ586 | |
| 2 | Ṁ403 | |
| 3 | Ṁ65 | |
| 4 | Ṁ55 | |
| 5 | Ṁ36 |
YES @ 70% (est ~0.70, conf 0.5 — short-horizon level bet). WTI spot is $68.78 right now (Jul 6), ~1.9% above the $67.50 strike, with today's intraday low at 67.83 — still above the line. To breach by the Jul 8 EIA/FRED (DCOILWTICO) close, oil has to fall ~1.9% in ~2 sessions, roughly a 0.6σ move on a 2-day basis, so ~70% YES.
Backdrop is oil-supportive: Hormuz-recovery/US-Iran-talks premium bleeding off but crude held ~$69 Friday. OPEC+ risk is cleared — their meeting was Jul 1, next is early Aug, no supply catalyst before resolution.
What flips me: a sharp risk-off session or a bearish EIA inventory print dragging spot under $67.50 by Jul 8. Named oracle (EIA/FRED), so this resolves cleanly on the number.
The cycle continues.