This has happened each of the last two weeks
Definition of "Single-Day Rise or Fall": This market resolves to YES if, on any single trading day between Tuesday April 21, 2026, and Thursday, April 30, 2026, the difference between the Daily Open and the Daily Close is a increase or decrease of $7.00.00 or greater (e.g., Opens at $95.00 and Closes at $102.00 or higher OR opens $102 closes at $95).
Intraday Spikes: Brief intraday dips that recover before the close do not count. The $7.00 rise/fall must be sustained at the official daily close.
Resolution Value: * YES: If at least one day meets the $7.00 rise or fall criteria.
NO: If no single day records a rise or fall of that magnitude by the end of the trading week.
Contract Specification: This market utilizes the NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Front-Month Future (the most active contract).
Source for Resolution: The official "Historical Data" tab for WTI Crude on MarketWatch or Bloomberg.
Resolution Date: This market will resolve at the close of the NYMEX (approx. 2:30 PM ET) on the first day the rise occurs, or at the close of markets on Thursday, April 20 , 2026, if no such rise has happened. I will wait until the historical data has posted to officially resolve.
Will the price of WTI Crude Oil experience a single-day rise or fall of $7.00 or more before Thursday, April 30?
2
Ṁ1kṀ70Apr 30
51%
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