This market resolves to YES if the US Census Bureau/Commerce Department releases a Retail Sales report between Feb 10 and Feb 17, 2026, showing a month-over-month increase of 0.4% or higher.

It resolves to NO if the report shows growth below 0.4%, no growth, or a decline.

Update 2026-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date has been extended to March 10, 2026 to account for expected delays in the retail sales report release (anticipated to be 2-3 weeks late from the standard schedule, coming out in late February to early March).