Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

Question

Resolution Criteria: This market resolves YES if the official FOMC press release on June 17, 2026, announces a target range for the federal funds rate that is lower than the range preceding the meeting. It resolves NO if the rate is maintained or increased.

Settlement Source: Federal Reserve Board - Recent FOMC Decisions

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 41% chance (1 traders, as of Apr 19, 2026).

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