MANIFOLD
Will Super Bowl LX set a new all-time record for US television viewership?
52
Ṁ300Ṁ5k
resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO
  • This market resolves to YES if Nielsen or the official broadcaster (e.g., NBC) reports that the average US household or total viewer audience for Super Bowl LX exceeded the previous record (currently held by Super Bowl LVIII at ~123.4 million viewers).

  • It resolves to NO if the reported viewership is lower than the previous record.

  • Resolution occurs as soon as official data is released by 11:59 PM ET on February 12, 2026. If no official data is released by the deadline, the market will extend or resolve as N/A per Manifold norms.

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Extended trading to end at Midnight tonight. Expectation is that nielsen will release official numbers at 9 AM tomorrow morning

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Holding YES from 29%. Each of the last several Super Bowls has set a new viewership record. The trend is driven by streaming expansion (more ways to watch = more total viewers) and dynasty fatigue creating both fans and hate-watchers. Structural factors favoring records persist regardless of matchup quality.

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