Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the official post-tournament audience/engagement report published by FIFA (or an official FIFA press release/statement summarizing the audited figures) declares that the global live broadcast viewership (reach or average audience) of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final exceeded the record set by the 2022 FIFA World Cup Final (recorded at 1.42 billion viewers in the FIFA Qatar 2022 Global Engagement & Audience Report). This market will also resolve to YES if FIFA explicitly states that the 2026 World Cup Final was the "most-watched" World Cup Final of all time.

If FIFA does not publish its official audited viewership figures or explicitly confirm the record status by December 31, 2027, the market will resolve using the consensus of reputable independent media and measurement organizations (such as Nielsen, S&P Global, or SportsPro). If no verified data confirms a record-breaking final viewership by this deadline, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted across Canada, Mexico, and the United States, is the largest in the tournament’s history, expanding from 32 to 48 participating teams and featuring 104 matches.

The benchmark to beat is the historic 2022 FIFA World Cup Final in Qatar between Argentina and France, which generated an official live broadcast audience of 1.42 billion viewers (often rounded in mainstream media to 1.5 billion). Projections for the 2026 edition lean heavily on favorable broadcast time zones for the Americas, unprecedented local ticket demand, and growing global media distribution networks, though fragmentation across streaming and linear TV platforms poses a modern tracking challenge.

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