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MANIFOLD
Lakers get top-4 seed in Western Conference by end of 2025-26 season?
25
Ṁ1kṀ20k
resolved Apr 11
Resolved
YES

Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish the 2025-26 regular season as a top-4 seed in the Western Conference?

Context: The Lakers finished as the 3rd seed last season. With Doncic, LeBron James, and new additions, they're expected to be competitive. However, the Western Conference is deep with Oklahoma City, Denver, Houston, and other strong teams.

Resolution: Market resolves YES if the Lakers finish the regular season ranked 1st, 2nd, 3rd, or 4th in the Western Conference standings. Market resolves NO if they finish 5th or lower. Check final standings at NBA.com.

Market context
Sports
Sports Betting
NBA
Basketball
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bought Ṁ7,411 YES

Lakers have mathematically locked in at least the fourth seed. Resolves yes

No is still 63% with nuggests overtaking and rockets tied. Would strongly recommend a buy for no.

Post injuries and sunday's loss Lakers are still strongly favored to land in top 4, but weaker odds than a week ago. Current magic number of Rocket's Losses and Lakers Wins is 3. For example lakers finishing 2-2. and rockets 3-1. locks lakers at 4 seed.

bought Ṁ50 YES

SportsLine implies a >95% probability that the Lakers finish as a top-4 seed.