Will the @NPR Twitter account be labeled "US state-affiliated media" in June?

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resolved Jun 1

Resolved

ALL

The label has recently been added and has generated some controversy:

Resolves YES if: At market close the @NPR twitter account has this label or a similar one.

Resolves NO if: No label or a new, less strongly worded one (like "Partially state-funded media").

THE LABEL CHANGED, see my update in the comments.

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Update, all the labels were removed from all accounts.

The current label is "Government funded" which I consider to fit the criteria for a NO resolution (market will still only be resolved in June)

predictedYES 2y

@Shai Even in NPR's official response below, there is a noticeable tension between "Our federal funding is so small it's insignificant" and "federal funding is very important"

NPR claims that on average less than 1% of their annual budget comes from federal sources:
https://www.npr.org/2023/04/05/1168158549/twitter-npr-state-affiliated-media

Is this true? Why not just stop receiving it then?

@ShaiNatapov They just laid off a bunch of their staff. I don’t imagine they’re so flush with cash that they can turn money down.

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What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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