Erdogan has said he believes Russia wants a continuation of the deal and that talking with Putin might make it happen.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/erdogan-says-putin-talks-could-lead-restoring-black-sea-grain-deal-media-2023-07-21/
Resolves YES if credible media sources (reuters/AP/BBC/similar) report that the Black Sea Grain Initiative (or Black Sea Grain Deal) has been renewed.
Resolves 75% if credible media sources report that there was a new agreement made that allows Ukraine to export grain to Russia and other countries, but it isn't called the Black Sea Grain Initiative/Deal.
Resolves NO if no such agreement or deal is made.
Resolves N/A if Putin doesn't visit Turkey before close date, or if it's unclear whether a similar deal was made.
This market is resolved as soon as the talks happen and it is clear whether a deal was made. If Russia decides to back out of a deal they made a week later, it will not be re-resolved.
1,000
3.00https://tass.com/russia/1655965
Russian media reporting it now.
There are a lot of "ifs" though. Erdogan may come to Russia instead (seems unlikely but possible). And Russia is also making demands.
@ShadowyZephyr My feel on this is that Erdogan has completely shown Putin the middle finger the last few weeks and Putin doesn't want to acquiesce here. Could be wrong.