CNN's exit poll in 2020 found Biden+75, Fox found Biden +83. Resolves Yes if the mean between the two sources is <D+79
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Resolves Yes if the mean between the two sources is <D+79
CNN[1] has D+74 and Fox[1] has D+66 for an average of D+70, which is less than D+79. Should resolve positively. @Manifold
[1] https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0
[2] https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/general-results/voter-analysis
And here are the links to the 2020 numbers mentioned in the resolution criteria for reference:
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis
@bagelfan don't they reweight the exit polls to match the final outcome?
So the exit polls we see aren't complete yet since they haven't been reweighted?
I may be wrong.