I assume the mana market should resolve to yes to match the sweepstakes market?

Resolves Yes if the mean between the two sources is <D+79

CNN[1] has D+74 and Fox[1] has D+66 for an average of D+70, which is less than D+79. Should resolve positively. @Manifold

[1] https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0
[2] https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/general-results/voter-analysis

And here are the links to the 2020 numbers mentioned in the resolution criteria for reference:
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis

@mods See above

@SemioticRivalry

@bagelfan don't they reweight the exit polls to match the final outcome?

So the exit polls we see aren't complete yet since they haven't been reweighted?

I may be wrong.

@ChinmayTheMathGuy I'm not sure.

Polls are showing around +60 margin currently