Will there be education depolarization in the 2024 election?
12
34
Ṁ204Ṁ280
2025
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the CNN exit poll in 2020, college educated voters went Biden +12, while non college voters went Trump +2. This would be 14 points of polarization. The Fox exit poll showed 12 points of polarization.
If the mean of the education polarization CNN and Fox exit polls in 2024 show a value less than 13, this market will resolve to yes.
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