Will there be age depolarization in the 2024 election?
10
200Ṁ721resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the CNN exit poll in 2020, 18-44 voters went Biden +14, while 45+ voters went Trump +3. This would be 17 points of polarization. The Fox exit poll showed 20 points of polarization.
If the mean of the age polarization CNN and Fox exit polls in 2024 show a value less than 18.5, this market will resolve to yes. In the event that the exits do not provide these exact age ranges, I will try to compare other sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ72 | |
| 2 | Ṁ59 | |
| 3 | Ṁ41 | |
| 4 | Ṁ22 | |
| 5 | Ṁ16 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the party that wins the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
46% chance
Will the winner of the 2028 presidential election be under the age of 50?
27% chance
Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028?
90% chance
Will a person under the age of 60 be elected US President in 2028?
57% chance
Will someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
80% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
44% chance
Will The Project be an issue in the 2028 election?
37% chance
Will the party that loses the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
57% chance