MANIFOLD
Will ranked choice voting be relevant in the 2024 presidential election?
18
Ṁ1kṀ5.1k
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
NO

If neither candidate gets a majority in either Maine or Alaska, the ranked choice voting goes into effect. Will this happen? In the event of a court challenge, this market will reflect the final decision that the courts come to.

I will bet in this market. If there is a conflict regarding the resolution of this market, I will turn it over to a council of moderators.

Market context
US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
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bought Ṁ750 NO

Resolves no

@SemioticRivalry

this is really unclear, tbh. Does it resolve YES if no party gets outright 50%+ in either state? Or does it resolve YES if no party gets 50%+ AND adding the votes from the third candidate flips the order of the first two?

@PeterBuyukliev @SemioticRivalry can you clarify? I'm pretty sure it's just "RCV goes into effect"

@Siebe yes

Alaska and Maine-2 only barely gave Trump a majority in the last two elections. And Maine-AL had no majority in 2016. In 2024 it depends on how strong the third-party showing is.

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