Will Biden or Trump outperform their polling?
40
1kṀ1368resolved Aug 3
ResolvedN/A
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
45%
Biden
55%
Trump
Specifically national average (including third parties) vs national popular vote. This will resolve according to margin between the two, so if the polling margin is Biden + 3 and he wins by 2, it resolves to Trump. RCP or 538 average will be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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