Obviously, the Super Bowl is not scripted. But there are some potential outcomes that might make it feel kind of scripted. I'll resolve to whatever percentage I feel is appropriate. If Travis Kelce scores the game winning touchdown as time expires and then makes heart hands this will naturally resolve to 99%. A 49ers victory will probably deal a significant blow to the percentage, unless they can somehow create a victorious underdog narrative of comparable power to Taylor Swift. If either team wins in a blowout and the game is boring it will resolve to a low percentage. If the Chiefs win but Kelce doesn't do anything, that will definitely harm the percentage. If it's a defense and special teams slog that will harm the percentage. You get the idea.

Resolves according to my subjective judgement. KC-BUF would've resolved to something like 90%, KC-BAL would've resolved to something like 65%, KC-MIA to 40%.

I will not bet in this market.