
Can GPT-5 guess between a Biden and a Trump neighborhood?
11
220Ṁ116Jan 1
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Whenever I gain access, I'll give GPT-5 screenshots from Google Street View in randomly selected precincts that voted for Biden and Trump (as done here) .
I'll use a sample of 50. If GPT-5 is correct 35 times or more, it will resolve yes.
I will use this prompt:
"The following is a picture of somewhere in the United States. It voted for either Biden or Trump in 2020. Please guess which one it voted for. Reply only with the name of the candidate who is your guess."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by: