[50 M subsidy] If Trump is elected Speaker, will that help his re-election bid?
4
56
แน€160
Nov 4
39%
chance

If Trump is elected the next speaker of the House, this market will resolve as YES if his 538 polling average versus Biden is higher 60 days after his election as Speaker than the day before the election.

This resolves NO if his polling average is lower.

If the presidential election is within 60 days of his election as Speaker, we will compare the national popular vote to his standing in the polls.

This will resolve NA if Trump isn't the next House Speaker, or if he or Biden somehow drop off the race within 60 days of Trump's election to the Speakership.

As usual I won't be voting on my market.

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