Will Ma Huateng (CEO of Tencent) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
8
85
170
2029
31%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Ma Huateng ("Pony Ma", founder and CEO of Tencent) has been criminally charged by the police with any felony crime.

If he is imprisoned by Chinese authorities but without an explicit charge, we'll still include that as a YES (to reduce ambiguity).

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.

Question is global -- charges in any country count.

Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.

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bought Ṁ5 of NO

Basically all executives will be in jail when tech collapses but it will take longer.