If Pichai is NOT Alphabet CEO at the end of 2023, will GOOGL outperform the S&P500 in 2024?
If Pichai is NOT Alphabet CEO at the end of 2023, will GOOGL outperform the S&P500 in 2024?
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70Ṁ60resolved Dec 14
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In other words: If Sundar Pichai isn't the CEO of Alphabet on 2023-Dec-31, will GOOGL stock outperform the S&P 500 index during 2024?
If Pichai is still the CEO, then we resolve this N/A to refund the trades, and look to the sibling question:
Details:
-We would count from the opening price of the first trading day of 2024, to the closing price of the last trading session of 2024. Example
-The comparison will use Google's classs A shares, available publicly on the NASDAQ.
-The comparison ignores dividends.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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