Inspired by DismalScientist's question.
Resolves NA if:
Nikki Haley doesn't win the election.
Or if Haley isn't nominated in the primary (which she needs to run for election).
How I plan to check growth rates
In 2029 I will Google the U.S. real GDP growth rate (which is inflated-adjusted). If the compounded growth rate was >3% (for the 4 years from 2025 to 2028), then I will resolve YES. If it was clearly <3%, then I resolve NO.
Note that simply averaging the yearly growth rates can be misleading. For example: growth of -5% followed by +5% causes a compounded decline of -0.25%. But if you took the simple average from the "-5%" and the "+5%", then you get +/0%, or no average change. The difference is usually tiny for GDP growth. But we'll use the compounded rate, because it's more relevant.
If it's not obvious from a cursory Google search, then I could go to FRED and manually calculate the compounded growth rate. I would show the steps used and remove all doubt.
The resolution date can be extended if finalized GDP figures aren't available yet.
1,000