Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be born pre 1960
46%
chance
Dec 16, 2024
M$338 bet
MP
Before 1960: Biden: 1942 Trump: 1946 DeSantis: 1978 Mike Pence: 1959 (lol) After 1960: Harris: 1964 Newsom: 1967
0
MattP
Matt P is betting NO at 69%
@MP 1978 is before 1960? O_o
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MP
MP is betting YES at 69%
@MattP Of course not, I am an idiot.
0
Conflux
Conflux is betting YES at 60%
@MP Buttigieg: 1982 (fwiw)
0
Conflux
Hilariously this market would be basically identical if "1960" was replaced with "1947."
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ScottOwens
@Conflux I'm trying to create markets that are agnostic to any particular person...also 1960 is nice sounding number
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Conflux
Conflux is betting YES at 64%
@ScottOwens I wasn’t suggesting it shouldn’t be 1960, I just think it’s funny that the results would be extremely similar
0
Conflux
Conflux is betting YES at 60%
I guess this take will look bad if Pence happens to win. I thought he was a sixties kid for some reason.
0

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