Will the U.S. capital be Washington, D.C. at the end of the decade?
17
1kṀ14212030
95%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is meant to be sensitive to any change in the location of the core of the U.S. federal government. Therefore, it will resolve NO if any of the following are the case on Jan 1, 2030:
* The capital city, as defined colloquially, is some city other than Washington, D.C.
* The Supreme Court hears at least one-half of all cases in a city not Washington, D.C.
* Either house of Congress meets primarily in a city not Washington, D.C.
* The residence of the president is moved outside of Washington, D.C.
* The Supreme Court, or either house of Congress, ceases to meet in-person at all, moving entirely online.
If nothing of this sort happens, this question resolves YES.
If the nature of Washington, D.C. changes (i.e. it finally gets conquered by Maryland), that's still a YES for this question, since it doesn't change the location of the capital. (Similarly if Arlington gets merged back into D.C..)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
In 2050, how many U.S. states will have its capital in Washington, D.C.?
Will the next new USA state be one other than puerto rico or washington dc?
32% chance
Will Washington DC be a state by the end of 2028?
8% chance
Will the set of U.S. states change this decade?
19% chance
Will the 51st state be Washington DC?
40% chance
Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030?
6% chance
Who will be the President of America in the new decade?
Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?
9% chance
What will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?
Will any UN country change its capital city before the year 2030?
69% chance