Will the U.S. capital be Washington, D.C. at the end of the decade?
14
14
Ṁ794Ṁ180
2030
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is meant to be sensitive to any change in the location of the core of the U.S. federal government. Therefore, it will resolve NO if any of the following are the case on Jan 1, 2030:
* The capital city, as defined colloquially, is some city other than Washington, D.C.
* The Supreme Court hears at least one-half of all cases in a city not Washington, D.C.
* Either house of Congress meets primarily in a city not Washington, D.C.
* The residence of the president is moved outside of Washington, D.C.
* The Supreme Court, or either house of Congress, ceases to meet in-person at all, moving entirely online.
If nothing of this sort happens, this question resolves YES.
If the nature of Washington, D.C. changes (i.e. it finally gets conquered by Maryland), that's still a YES for this question, since it doesn't change the location of the capital. (Similarly if Arlington gets merged back into D.C..)
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