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This market got so out of whack that I broke my informal rule and took a position! I'll be waiting a couple days to resolve to make sure there's no late-breaking news.

(And in the meantime, I'm broke lol. A total of M$30 liquid...)

Jimmy Carter, oh what a man!
Will he survive? That's the plan.
He's tough as nails, that much is clear,
April 1st? He'll still be here.

People putting limit orders for yes doesn’t seem so smart. His death will cause an immediate market crash and you’re gonna be filling limit orders most likely after he’s already fidd

@NGK You're going to feel so silly when news sites misclick and post the article early 😭

@Gen Honestly if that happens I’ll take a fat L. They’re playing a high risk game if that’s their goal 💀

@NGK those limit orders would have caught destiny's big sell and made a handy profit, it turns out!

watch the movie Lucky (2017)

This might be a moon shot, 15% of hospice patients can live up to 6 months and most die within the first 3 weeks. We are over 3 weeks, get hype for the Jimmy Carter minority.

@Haws I am not from the US and I never cared as much for any US president living as now. Live, Jimmy, bring me sweet mana.

Someone need to buy some NOs.

@johnleoks amen

@MarcusAbramovitch goober

Idk man even if it doesn’t happen I feel like the market is about out on this one

@Thagliou Carter has already lasted 3 weeks, I would imagine surviving additional time correlates with even longer timelines.

The next line of that article points out that 12-15% of hospice patients survive 6 months. Conditioned on not dying within 3 weeks (50%) that would put 15/50=~30% chance of making it 6 months, so somewhere between that until the end of this month.

@DanStoyell I haven't looked at the numbers here, but when old people are dying it always feels like hey, there's no movement and maybe they're stable forever until they suddenly do :(. So just on vibes, I'm long this one.

@ShakedKoplewitz Fwiw I also expect this market to continually go up until it suddenly drops

Update: https://www.theonion.com/jimmy-carter-beginning-to-worry-that-he-will-never-die-1850198184

someone buy some no's

@cutie so you can buy more yes? lol

@blake exactly

@cutie I gotchu

@cutie bought 200

@cutie did you see the news yet?

@Predictor

@cutie want me to buy some more?

@blake go ahead

@cutie bought M300 more