As far as I can tell this is 2: NY and GA (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indictments_against_Donald_Trump). Resolving. (FL is a federal indictment and doesn't count as per my comments a year ago.)

For clarity, what counts as a state? Is the federal government counted separately?

@LivInTheLookingGlass at the moment there are 50 states. Each counts separately and nothing else does. Feds do not. If new states are added they will count.

I made this market because I made the adjacent market about Biden. I made that market as a probe of the extent to which republicans would attempt to retaliate for the trump indictments. So Fed doesn't count.

Hope the spirit is clear.

@ScottLawrence "Feds do not"? To be clear, does the documents case in Florida count since even though it is a federal case it is still in Florida? Obviously the DC hush money case wouldn't count since that is not a state...

@parhizj correct. This isn't about where the court is physically located.

@ScottLawrence Ok, any ideas what the potential fourth state would be that would explain this market question being above 3 (currently GA, FL, NY)?

I looked online and couldn't find any potential states where he is being investigated. Concerning election interference, this is is all I could find:
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4138124-trumps-fake-electors-7-states-he-lost/
Quoting: "The Georgia probe is the most significant of any state’s investigation into 2020 election meddling and is the only known case where Trump himself is a target of an investigation."

Maybe there is another current investigation into something else besides these cases but I couldn't find it at the moment.

@NicoDelon , are you tricking the bot? 😂

@parhizj I sold by mistake

@parhizj this is a few-trader market. I wouldn't read too much into the difference between 3 and 3.4