@LivInTheLookingGlass at the moment there are 50 states. Each counts separately and nothing else does. Feds do not. If new states are added they will count.
I made this market because I made the adjacent market about Biden. I made that market as a probe of the extent to which republicans would attempt to retaliate for the trump indictments. So Fed doesn't count.
Hope the spirit is clear.
@ScottLawrence "Feds do not"? To be clear, does the documents case in Florida count since even though it is a federal case it is still in Florida? Obviously the DC hush money case wouldn't count since that is not a state...
@ScottLawrence Ok, any ideas what the potential fourth state would be that would explain this market question being above 3 (currently GA, FL, NY)?
I looked online and couldn't find any potential states where he is being investigated. Concerning election interference, this is is all I could find:
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4138124-trumps-fake-electors-7-states-he-lost/
Quoting: "The Georgia probe is the most significant of any state’s investigation into 2020 election meddling and is the only known case where Trump himself is a target of an investigation."
Maybe there is another current investigation into something else besides these cases but I couldn't find it at the moment.
@parhizj this is a few-trader market. I wouldn't read too much into the difference between 3 and 3.4