Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if a commercially available flying car achieves full regulatory approval and delivers at least one production unit to a paying customer before the Dallas Cowboys win another Super Bowl.

This market resolves to NO if the Dallas Cowboys win an NFL Super Bowl before a qualifying flying car is commercially delivered.

Definitions and Conditions:

• "Flying car": Defined as a passenger vehicle capable of both legal operation on public roads (driving) and controlled, sustained aerodynamic flight or vertical takeoff and landing (flying). Pure aircraft, eVTOLs requiring dedicated helipads/airports without street-legal driving capabilities, and military-only vehicles do not qualify.

• "Commercially available": The vehicle must receive full type certification / airworthiness for civilian flight from a major aviation authority (such as the FAA or EASA), comply with applicable road safety regulations, and complete its first delivery to a paying, non-testing retail or commercial customer. Pre-orders, prototypes, and R&D/experimental certifications do not count.

• "Dallas Super Bowl": The Dallas Cowboys franchise winning any edition of the NFL Super Bowl, verified by official records at NFL.com.

Background

The Dallas Cowboys last won a Super Bowl in January 1996 (Super Bowl XXX), resulting in a multi-decade championship drought despite consistent regular-season appearances.

Concurrently, several aerospace startups and automotive companies—such as Alef Aeronautics, Samson Sky, and XPeng Aeroht—are developing dual-mode road-and-air vehicles. While multiple companies accept pre-orders and hold experimental or limited airworthiness certificates from the FAA for research and exhibition, dual certification for street legality and civil aviation remains a substantial regulatory and engineering hurdle.

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