See https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/2023-prediction-contest

I have scores already. About 3300 people entered Blind Mode. What percentile among these people do you think Manifold (see https://manifold.markets/browse/acx-2023-prediction-contest?s=most-popular&f=resolved&ct=ALL) got?

See https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/2023-prediction-contest

I have scores already. About 3300 people entered Blind Mode. What percentile among these people do you think Manifold (see https://manifold.markets/browse/acx-2023-prediction-contest?s=most-popular&f=resolved&ct=ALL) got?

I will probably post results on Monday; this question will close then. It will resolve to the percentile, so if it got 50th percentile, it will resolve to 50.

See also question about Metaculus at https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/what-percentile-did-metaculus-get-i

I will probably post results on Monday; this question will close then.