If I review Vaclav Havel's "The Power Of The Powerless", will it get at least 125 likes? | Manifold

If I review Vaclav Havel's "The Power Of The Powerless", will it get at least 125 likes?

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resolved Feb 28

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This is a conditional prediction market intended to help me determine what books to review. It resolves as positive if I post a review of "The Power of the Powerless" on ACX and get at least 125 Substack likes within one week of posting. It resolves as negative if I post the review and get fewer than 125 likes. If I don't review this book within a year, it resolves N/A.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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Please do. Whether or not I'll like your opinion, I really want to hear your thoughts.

bought Ṁ50 of YES

I expect everyone to Goodhart their likes to get a YES result; it’s harder to Goodhart a NO.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

This is the highest rated option on Goodreads

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In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

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Will I write a satirical tweet in the next 6 months on the “trust the science” discourse, that gets more than 150 likes?

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