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Will the next NYT / Siena poll be more favorable for Biden than the March 2nd one?
32
Ṁ680Ṁ8.8k
resolved Apr 13
Resolved
YES

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/02/us/politics/biden-trump-times-siena-poll.html

The latest NYT / Siena poll was released today, and shows Trump leading Biden by 5%. This is substantially worse for Biden than their most recent poll last year. Will things shift in Biden's favor by the time next poll is released in a few months?

Resolves based on Trump's vote share minus Biden's vote share being less in the next poll than this one. Resolves NO if the polls show the same result. Resolves N/A if the two results are not directly comparable (e.g. RV versus LV, or the next poll includes third-party candidates).

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Biden Shrinks Trump’s Edge in Latest Times/Siena Poll - The New York Times

Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump are now virtually tied, with Mr. Trump holding a 46 percent to 45 percent edge.

Have you READ The NY Times?🤣👎