I will not trade on this market Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the envisioned website is more like gwern.net than a Substack.

No — resolved on Jul 18, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

MANIFOLD

Will I create a new website before July 17?

Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k

resolved Jul 18

Resolved

ALL

I will not trade on this market

Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the envisioned website is more like gwern.net than a Substack.

Market context

Personal

Personal Goals

Get

1,000

to start trading!

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#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ108
2		Ṁ19
3		Ṁ9
4		Ṁ3

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Will I successfully create an app before school starts in the fall?

27% chance

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yeah this is not happening lol

bought Ṁ10 YES

why wouldn't you?

why would you?

@JaySocrates @jim has a few essays on his substack, he inspired me to maybe do the same thing. there are some ideas i think are interesting & relatively undercovered

@SaviorofPlant why not substack directly instead of your own site?

@JaySocrates the site i am envisioning is more like gwern.net than a substack & i don't want most of substack's features

@SaviorofPlant when was the last software/coding project you finished (not started, finished)?

@JaySocrates last month

People are also trading

Will I successfully create an app before school starts in the fall?

27% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

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