Will Harris gain in all three states in the next NYT / Siena poll of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania?
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Plus
23
Ṁ2721
resolved Nov 3
Resolved
NO

Among likely voters.

The most recent NYT poll showed Harris +4 in all three of these swing states among likely voters, without including RFK Jr. Resolves NO if Harris loses ground in any of these states or the exact same result comes back. Resolves N/A if the next LV poll only includes RFK and has no two-way option.

The next poll is likely to be after the Democratic National Convention.

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The recent poll only fielded Pennsylvania and not Michigan and Wisconsin, so it doesn't count for purposes of resolving this market.

@SaviorofPlant Will you extend the end date if NYT hasn't published the new state polls?

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