How many parameters does the new possibly-SOTA large language model, Claude 3 Opus, have?
25
1kṀ9612026
1.3%
Less than 250 billion
6%
Between 250 and 500 billion
19%
Between 500 billion and 1 trillion
45%
Between 1 trillion and 1.5 trillion
22%
Between 1.5 trillion and 2 trillion
8%
More than 2 trillion
Anthropic released their new Claude 3 model today, which apparently outperforms GPT-4, the previous state of the art LLM, on various benchmarks: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-3-family
GPT-4 is rumored to have 1.8 trillion parameters. How many does Claude 3 have?
Resolves N/A if there is no information on this by 2026. There does not need to be official confirmation of parameter count, just media reports which don't contradict each other.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
https://x.com/aidan_mclau/status/1849607168607002674
This random Twitter user claims to have heard that Claude Opus is smaller than GPT-4. Not sure how credible they are
Deleted comment
People are also trading
Related questions
How many (total) parameters does the Claude3 Haiku (the smallest variant) have? (resolve to log_10(N))
How many active parameters will the largest Llama 3 have?
77% chance
What is Claude Opus 4's performance on METR's task length evaluation?
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
9% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
43% chance
Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?
5% chance
How many parameters does GPT4o have?