This is an experimental market where you can add a belief you have as an answer, and users can bet on whether anyone on the site can convince you otherwise, in the comments of this market or in Manifold DMs. (You can also add answers about other users, but I'd make sure they're willing to participate first.) It's meant to be a rough equivalent to /r/CMV. The idea is for users to scope out others' beliefs, even if they don't particularly intend on debating them, and bet accordingly, creating a rough ordering of which users/subjects are likely to be easier or harder (but also which .
To resolve a market YES, simply comment or DM me that you have been convinced and who convinced you. If you naturally change your mind without talking about it with anyone on the site, I will resolve the answer NO. Meta answers about the market itself like "Two debate answers added by separate users in this market resolve YES" are allowed. I think it's ideal if users do not bet on their own answers, since that adds perverse incentives, but I won't try to stop people from doing so.
The market close date will not change, and all remaining open answers resolve NO at that time.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ300 | |
2 | Ṁ227 | |
3 | Ṁ45 | |
4 | Ṁ36 | |
5 | Ṁ22 |