
Harvard’s President, Claudine Gay, recently resigned in part due to pressure related to allegations of plagiarism.
Neri Oxman, former MIT tenured professor, and wife of prominent investor billionaire Bill Ackman, was recently accused of plagiarism in her PhD dissertation.
Will any other academic or public figure (political, business, etc.) resign because of plagiarism allegations?
Requirements to resolve yes:
1) The person must be a public figure. I think the best way to measure this is for example if their resignation, firing, or the plagiarism allegations, are reported in national media.
2) The resignation or firing must happen in 2024, after creation of this market.
3) There must be some indication that the resignation or firing is, at least in part, due to the plagiarism allegations and not a different reason.
Clarifications:
1) Any resignation would count. For example if a person holds more than one position (e.g. board member + faculty position), just resigning or being fired from one of them would count.
2) The credibility or seriousness of the allegations don’t matter, as long as there is indication that it was a significant factor in their resignation or firing.
3) (1/14/24): To assess “high-level” of the person who is fired or resigns, “national media” is defined as media that has significant coverage or audience across the US. For example, any publication on this list of top-50 news sites by volume would count as “national media” (but there may be others that would count and are not on it): https://pressgazette.co.uk/media-audience-and-business-data/media_metrics/most-popular-websites-news-us-monthly-3/
4) (1/14/24): To assess “high level”, “national coverage” is not a necessary criterion. If e.g. a Dean of a top school is fired, it would also count even if it only gets picked up by local or state media.