Resolution Criteria: This market resolves YES if the total cryptocurrency market cap changes by more than 3% (up or down) within 24 hours of Powell's speech conclusion on October 17, 2025. Market cap data will be verified using CoinMarketCap: https://coinmarketcap.com/

Sources: Multiple crypto news outlets are highlighting the potential market impact of Powell's upcoming speech.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, as reported by CoinMarketCap, changes by more than 3% (up or down) within 24 hours following the conclusion of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on October 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market resolves NO. The market capitalization data for resolution will be verified using CoinMarketCap: https://coinmarketcap.com/.

Background

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) annual meeting in Philadelphia. His remarks are anticipated to influence expectations regarding interest rate adjustments and broader monetary policy.

Market participants widely expect the Federal Reserve to implement 25-basis-point interest rate cuts in both October and December 2025, with futures markets indicating probabilities as high as 97% for an October cut. The cryptocurrency market has recently shown significant volatility ahead of and following Powell's public remarks, with analysts noting his comments could either intensify or stabilize existing market turmoil. Recent declines have seen Bitcoin fall below $112,000 and the global crypto market cap experience drops. Factors contributing to this market sensitivity include ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as US-China trade disputes, and the impact of a U.S. government shutdown on economic data releases.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, as reported by CoinMarketCap, changes by more than 3% (up or down) within 24 hours following the conclusion of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on October 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market resolves NO. The market capitalization data for resolution will be verified using CoinMarketCap: https://coinmarketcap.com/.

Background

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) annual meeting in Philadelphia. His remarks are anticipated to influence expectations regarding interest rate adjustments and broader monetary policy.

Market participants widely expect the Federal Reserve to implement 25-basis-point interest rate cuts in both October and December 2025, with futures markets indicating probabilities as high as 97% for an October cut. The cryptocurrency market has recently shown significant volatility ahead of and following Powell's public remarks, with analysts noting his comments could either intensify or stabilize existing market turmoil. Recent declines have seen Bitcoin fall below $112,000 and the global crypto market cap experience drops. Factors contributing to this market sensitivity include ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as US-China trade disputes, and the impact of a U.S. government shutdown on economic data releases.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, as reported by CoinMarketCap, changes by more than 3% (up or down) within 24 hours following the conclusion of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on October 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market resolves NO. The market capitalization data for resolution will be verified using CoinMarketCap.

Background

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) annual meeting in Philadelphia. His remarks are anticipated to influence expectations regarding interest rate adjustments and broader monetary policy. Market participants widely expect the Federal Reserve to implement 25-basis-point interest rate cuts in both October and December 2025, with futures markets indicating probabilities as high as 97% for an October cut. The cryptocurrency market has recently shown significant volatility ahead of and following Powell's public remarks, with analysts noting his comments could either intensify or stabilize existing market turmoil. Recent declines have seen Bitcoin fall below $112,000 and the global crypto market cap experience drops. Factors contributing to this market sensitivity include ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as US-China trade disputes, and the impact of a U.S. government shutdown on economic data releases.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, as reported by CoinMarketCap, changes by more than 3% (up or down) within 24 hours following the conclusion of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on October 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market resolves NO. The market capitalization data for resolution will be verified using CoinMarketCap: https://coinmarketcap.com/.

Background

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) annual meeting in Philadelphia. His remarks are anticipated to influence expectations regarding interest rate adjustments and broader monetary policy. Market participants widely expect the Federal Reserve to implement 25-basis-point interest rate cuts in both October and December 2025, with futures markets indicating probabilities as high as 97% for an October cut. The cryptocurrency market has recently shown significant volatility ahead of and following Powell's public remarks, with analysts noting his comments could either intensify or stabilize existing market turmoil. Recent declines have seen Bitcoin fall below $112,000 and the global crypto market cap experience drops. Factors contributing to this market sensitivity include ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as US-China trade disputes, and the impact of a U.S. government shutdown on economic data releases.