Bitcoin Price at 5 PM on 10/29
1
2kṀ2177
Oct 29
2%
$105,000 or higher
51%
$107,000 or higher
2%
$109,000 or higher
2%
$111,000 or higher
2%
$113,000 or higher
2%
$115,000 or higher
2%
$117,000 or higher
9%
$119,000 or higher
2%
$121,000 or higher
2%
$123,000 or higher
2%
$101,000 or higher
2%
$103,000 or higher
2%
$125,000 or higher
2%
$127,000 or higher
2%
$129,000 or higher
2%
$131,000 or higher
2%
$133,000 or higher
2%
$135,000 or higher
2%
$137,000 or higher
2%
$139,000 or higher

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on Bitcoin's USD price at 5 PM (New York) on October 29, 2025. The live price of Bitcoin is $115,322.7 as of the time of this market creation. Resolution will be determined by checking major cryptocurrency price indices such as CoinMarketCap at the specified time. The market resolves YES for whichever price bracket(s) Bitcoin's price falls into or exceeds at that moment.

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what happened? cc @mods

@deagol I'm guessing a mistaken early resolve. I've unresolved for now, keep me apprised if it happens again and doesn't appear to be good faith

@Stralor I've also reopened it for live trading. Not sure what the original window was, but a major mistake like this loses the right to early close imho

@Stralor problem is it was created as dependent but the option names call for independent MC. I think it should be N/A, same as the other one: https://manifold.markets/Sancor/bitcoin-price-at-4-pm-on-1028?r=ZGVhZ29s

I'm wary of treating it as buckets (as you suggest in the other one) since traders will inevitably read the options and bet as if they were a set, and who knows what the creator would do. I might trade if the options were explicitly edited to show buckets, still, with the creator's multiple issues, I think I'll just sit it out. Thanks anyway!

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