Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the price of Bitcoin (BTC) in USD at exactly 11:00:00 AM EST on October 21, 2025. The price will be determined by the "Snapshot Price" visible on CoinMarketCap's historical data for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) for that specific date and time. If CoinMarketCap does not provide an exact timestamp for 11:00:00 AM EST, the closest available data point on or after 11:00:00 AM EST on October 21, 2025, will be used.

Each answer will resolve "Yes" if the determined Bitcoin price is equal to or higher than the stated threshold. Otherwise, it will resolve "No".

For reference: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/

Background

On October 21, 2025, Bitcoin's price has been observed generally ranging between $107,000 and $111,000. This comes amidst a broader "downward streak" in the cryptocurrency market, characterized by a "fear zone" in sentiment. Earlier in October, Bitcoin had climbed above $126,000. Recent market activity includes significant ETF outflows and large-scale liquidations, contributing to current volatility. Coinciding with this, a Federal Reserve conference on payments innovation, stablecoins, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) is taking place on October 21, 2025, which could potentially influence future crypto market dynamics.

Considerations

The specified price options for this market range from $105,000 to $123,000 or higher. While Bitcoin reached over $126,000 earlier in October, reported prices on the resolution date are generally positioned at the lower end of these options. Traders should consider the current market sentiment and recent price trends when making predictions.