This market resolves based on the total number of applications received by all 8 Ivy League schools for the Class of 2032 compared to Class of 2028.
Resolution will be based on official admissions data released by the universities (est. late 2028 - early 2029).
Early Resolution Criteria:
If data is not yet released for up to 3 universities, but application counts have decreased by at least 40% for the remaining universities, this market will resolve YES.
References:
Class of 2028 application count statistics:
Harvard: 54,008
Yale: 57,465
Princeton: 40,468
Columbia: 60,248
Dartmouth: 31,656
Brown: 48,898
UPenn: 65,235
Cornell: 65,612
I may bet in this market.
1,000Yes, as of today, this school has significantly lost its popularity, and there are much better options available now. For example, my child really enjoys attending a modern summer school in London. Fortunately, I found information about it here: https://www.immerse.education/london-summer-school/, got in touch with them, and they enrolled my child for studies there. It’s really awesome and also helps with staying there, which is very important.
They will go down by way more than 20%. Probably more like 50%.
Reasons:
First, the numbers are already trending back down towards pre-COVID levels. That alone should take almost by 20%.
Secondly, AI is unleashing so much productivity that a 4-year degree will seem like a waste of time and lost opportunity (even more so than the cost, which will also go down dramatically BTW). I think people will realize that traditional college education is just not relevant anymore.
AI will do to universities what internet did to newspapers.