Will the US Initial Jobless Claims figure published this week be higher than 226,000?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ12Jun 25
46%
chance
4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on official US data and credible reporting, including:
https://www.dol.gov/newsroom/releases/eta
Resolution will be based on the headline number, which is typically rounded to the nearest thousand, not the raw underlying data. If the report is not released this week (before end of Sunday, Eastern Time), the market would resolve as N/A.
I will aim to resolve this market within one day of the market closing, unless there is material uncertainty or disagreement about the outcome. I may bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in June 2026?
38% chance
Will the June 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?
64% chance
Will the June 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.4%?
38% chance
Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?
39% chance
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
65% chance
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
21% chance