I am a citizen and resident of Argentina. At the end of Javier Milei's first term as president, will my subjective impression of my own financial situation be better than it was when his term first started? Resolves YES if it's unambiguously better, NO if it's unambiguously worse, and to whatever probability I think is apt if it's ambiguous.

This market is not solely about effects that can plausibly be attributed to the government; e.g. if I'm better off because I got a higher-paying job abroad but Argentina's economy is in shambles, it still resolves YES.

Resolves early if Milei stops being president before completing a full term. I will not bet on this market.