Will private groups be the most impactful new feature for Manifold in 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Private groups would allow you to create a private group with your friends/colleagues and create markets only visible within that group. We're considering private groups for both entrerprise and consumer user-cases.

At the end of the year, all people working on Manifold will take a Yes/No vote. If the majority vote private groups as the most impactful new feature from 2023 this market will resolve YES. A split vote resolves NO.

If we decide not to implement this feature (or if the feature we do implement looks sufficiently different), I will resolve this market N/A (even if we do end up implementing it later).

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predicted YES

I could be wrong, but I think I would use private markets more if they were cheaper. I felt myself holding back in creating markets for private groups due to price. That said, it is a bit of a premium service so I understand the premium.

predicted NO

I think I would use these as just a "a list of markets to watch". Currently I use likes for that, but it's disorganized and you can't see the current percentage. So I'd be tagging other people's markets mainly.

See also https://manifold.markets/DavidChee/will-leagues-be-the-most-impactful

I think specifically private groups > leagues, but also that neither is that likely to be "the most impactful" -- that's a super high bar!

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