Last year, we had a NYT article that led to thousands of signups for Manifold.

This market resolves YES if there is an article, blog post, video, podcast, TikTok, or other form of online or print media that directly results in 500 or more signups for Manifold in 2024. Estimating signups is more of an art than a science. I will use my best judgment in cases of ambiguity.