Will Manifold hit 100,000 DAUs in 2024 if...
Plus
22
Ṁ48kJan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Abandon Manifold Dating
Resolved
N/AKeep working on Manifold Dating for all of 2024
This is a decision market. I will N/A exactly one answer depending upon what we end up doing.
If Manifold hits 100k DAUs at any time in 2024, the relevant market resolves YES.
See also: /SG/will-manifold-have-30-growth-in-dau
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@georgeyw It's not a date doc. It's a structured dating profile that can only be seen if you also sign up.
It's still a lot more transparency than people are used to, but I think they will actually enjoy this, once we get it going.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold hit 10,000 DAUs in 2024?
7% chance
Will Manifold hit 2,500 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
60% chance
Will Manifold hit 3,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
21% chance
Will Manifold hit 5,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
7% chance
Will Manifold have more than 11000 Monthly Active Users at the end of 2024?
43% chance
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
66% chance
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
77% chance
Will Manifold hit 5,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
10% chance
Will Manifold hit 10,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
4% chance