Will Manifold have $100k in donations on March 1st?

106

Ṁ53K

Ṁ1.5K

resolved Mar 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

We sadly are having to shut down our charity program. Will it end with a bang?

Resolves YES if Manifold has the equivalent of US$100k or more in total donations as part of our charity program by March 1st, 2023.

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14 Comments

31 Holders

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6.3k has been donated in the last 3 months or so

bought Ṁ10,000 of YES

bought Ṁ1,090 of YES

@jack boom! Nice!

predicted NO

@egroj We're still waiting for clawback decisions on Mana purchased with illegitimately earned funds, HODL for all of us with NO

predicted NO

Still $500 short, with only a few hours remaining. It could definitely still resolve no!

bought Ṁ50 of YES

There's M$1500 free profit here for a generous individual!

predicted YES

wow I always forget how short February is

predicted YES

Why's there such a sudden drop in probably? The current total is less than 1400 USD from a 100k. Just because the charity program will continue... Is it less likely that people will contribute to it if they were planning to anyway?

predicted NO

@firstuserhere Wouldn't it be? You can always either donate your mana or try to invest it to win more mana. If your goal is to give as much as possible to charity, you'd probably want to invest quite a bit of it to earn a return rather than just giving it all to charity right away. If the charity option is about to permanently disappear, then you'd conversely want to donate everything you've got on hand right now.

sold Ṁ459 of YES

@akrasiac well the same dilemma occurs at a later point in time as well. If your goal is to give as much as possible to charity, you'd want to increase your mana even more at some time t' > t. This is similar to the balance that has to be struck in altruist community as well. Do i start donating now, even if less amounts, than compound it and donate more later? In either case, a point comes where you decide to donate, even if you could increase and donate more... Later.

predicted NO

@firstuserhere Agreed, there is a balance. But if you cannot donate at all after March 1st, that's going to shift the balance in favor of donating now.