How many markets will be created May 17th - 19th?
How many markets will be created May 17th - 19th?
23
3.5kṀ16kresolved May 20
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%90%
100 - 250
0.5%
<100
8%
250 - 500
1.6%
500+
Manifold has raised the market creation cost to M1,000.
How many markets will be created this weekend? I'll look at the sum of created markets for the 17th, 18th, 19th on our stats page (polls are included).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,271 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,151 | |
| 3 | Ṁ587 | |
| 4 | Ṁ267 | |
| 5 | Ṁ106 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.